Three Video Game Analysts – Three Samey Predictions Regarding The PSP2

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In a feature published on IndustryGamers, three video game industry analysts gave their opinions on Sony’s recently revealed PSP successor; the NGP. Somewhat surprisingly, all three industry insiders seemed to predict the same thing for the console.

Up first; Lazard Capital Markets’ Colin Sebastian worries that the NGP may not find its feet in a market where the focus seems to be on quick, disposable games like those found on the iDevices…

“[NGP has a] strong software lineup, but unlikely to hit the mass market. While clearly differentiated from the more casual games that have made the iPhone a phenomenal success as a videogame platform, it remains unclear whether there is mass market potential for high-end portable games. We note that Sony’s PSP did not meet initial sales expectations despite offering the highest quality graphics on a portable device at that time.”

Mike Hickey of Janco Partners shares pretty much the same opinion but uses different words…

“We suspect Sony’s NGP will face considerable market competition from smartphones, tablets and Nintendo’s 3D’s gaming handheld. We believe Sony’s PSP and PSP Go failed to resonate with today’s mobile gamers; and view the NGP as an evolution not a revolution from the aforementioned. The mobile gaming market moved aggressively away from Sony’s interpretation of a mobile game experience, and it’s not clear to us that the NGP is mapping to that new market.”

And finally, the daddy of video game industry analysis; the one and only Michael Pachter from Wedbush Morgan kind of echoes the sentiments of his colleagues but thinks that the relationship between the NGP and Android could help the device to settle in a comfortable middle-ground though he warned if Sony fail to support the NGP with a constant stream of quality titles (the exact opposite of what they did with the original PSP) then despite a big launch, the NGP will quietly fizzle away into obscurity…

“It’s a pretty impressive device. There is a lot to like, and Sony has a huge library of content. The device looks pretty powerful, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see some pretty sophisticated games, and the 3G capability and relationship with Android means we’ll see a ton of Android apps on the device as well. I suppose it will sell incredibly well for the first year (would bet 15 million or so), and then it will succeed or slow based upon the availability of software, much like the original PSP. I think it’s a huge step up on the PSP, and think that the memory card-based games (a la DS) make a lot of sense.”

Photo courtesy of www.instash.com

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